Main strong draw - this is the best flush draw. It draws "Generation M" - with the letter M begins the name of Ed Miller, author of the book "Hold'em at low stakes" - however, the players seem to go too far and announce bets, raises, three-bets, and even the last permitted raise with any flash-dro.

 

The best flush draw

A raise on the flop with a draw - this is really a good move, and under appropriate conditions almost exactly supposed to win for him is positive, but this is not always, and certainly not always exactly this move gives the highest result, even if the result is positive.

 

A raise with a flush draw on the flop is based on the estimated share of the bank. Since the flush draw is often drawn up - almost a third of cases, when the board should receive two more cards - and since flushes are almost always win, then you can usually assume that the probability of a win for a flush draw on the flop is 33%. If the sweat except you have two opponents, any bettor will be complemented by another, at least two betas, and therefore, you should refer to making money in the pot on the flop, at least neutral. Obviously I am writing? Let us examine in detail.

We will not take into account the cards, concentrate only on the sweat. Pot - a bunch of money, and when you say that your bank's estimated share is 33%, this means that on the basis of the distribution, you can keep the third part of the piles. To make money, you just need to add to the pot the amount is less than one-third of that of a handful that you get in the end; that is, if the share that you make, less than the share that you take away, you win money. Is not it obvious? Do you know what percentage of that you get a 33% - as it is the probability of your winning - so all you have to do is make sure that the share that you contribute less than 33%, and then you find yourself in plus. As in Hold'em, all contribute to the pot the same amount (excluding the situation when someone goes all-in) You know, that if against you play two opponents, then you make the pot one-third the amount, and in fact on the flop you will play " zero "when it comes to betas and raise. And if against you play more than two opponents, then you should be happy to make the pot any amount as your share of the winnings still is one-third, and the percentage that you contribute to the pot decreases with each added player - one opponent you make a 50% sweat in two - 33%, with three - 25%, and so on.

 

When the raise will not be true progress?

Now back to the card. We came to the conclusion that with a flush draw on the flop, you should be happy to make a lot of money in the pot when the pot but you have three or more opponents, and at least a neutral attitude to making money in the pot when two opponents.

But the tables where I play, there is a very large number of people who do not just announce bet and raise with a flush draw, but do 3-bet and even last permitted raise in the pot when we stay one-on-one! That is when they need to win to make a flush draw, they contribute to the pot half the money, but will be taken out only 33%. Why did they announce a raise? I'm sure it's because of what they read somewhere that this course of positive expectation. But even worse is that they announce bets and raises only with the (strong) draw. Some players are incredibly predictable: they use slow-play with the most powerful hands (sets, etc.), they announce bet / call or raise with a good hand, and they do a bet / raise / reraise / last allowed only raise with a draw. I'm not sure they realize how transparent it makes them play. Here is an example: if I have a pocket AK on a flop of K-7-2 with two hearts cards, as my opponent, appropriate under the scheme described above, the latter announces permitted raise it with the same success could finish the game the rest of the hand , turning the cards face up. And it's bad for him, because he did not make a profit when its flash composition, and on the turn, I'm going to get him to add to the pot the maximum amount possible.

 

When the raise will be the best course?

But the situation does not always reach such extremes, and this move may be more or less optimal. Let's say you are playing against two opponents who are strong enough, but you really do not know. You are in the position of the dealer button. One player enters the pot using a limp, you declare a raise with pocket peak A-J. A tight player in the big blind three-bet, and you and the player who used limp calls. The flop came K-8-5, two cards of which - peak; the player in the big blind opens bids bet, the player who used to limp, call, and you ...

... Declare a raise? It's possible. Given that you have the best possible flush draw, you raise when you declare, in the worst case, will play without any loss, as both your opponent is likely made the call when the turn to act comes to them. But it is only "likely", not exactly. two unpleasant events may occur:

1. The player in the big blind three-bet, and the enemy who used limp folds. Suddenly it turns out that you contribute to the pot is not "one-third" of the entire amount, and half. Your initially profitable call, deteriorated to progress, in which you overpaid two beta.

2. Both opponents collie, your flush on the turn is made, and they both declare a check. It seems reasonable that they would declare a check, since people like this move. And instead of getting caught in your trap, making big bets on the turn, they just announced a check and waiting to see what you'll be doing. You have lowered your expected expectation.

Sometimes players call other reasons for a raise in this situation would be a good move. Something about "getting information", "maintaining the image of an aggressive player" and "control distribution". But if talking about the reason to do this or that move, the player does not even attempt to explain how the result to get the money, then it's probably not a good reason. What information do you get from your raise, and how you will use this information to play the hand as something different?

"Maintaining an aggressive image" - is a tool, not a goal. Using an aggressive style of play is recommended, as a whole so you can win more money, but the formula "= aggressive play money win" it is not automatically true.

However, the control can then be a good reason. This reason may be sufficient, if we decide to declare a check on the turn, when we will not be flush. Unfortunately, because of this progress, our hand is becoming abundantly clear to all but the most are unable to "read the hand" of opponents, but it is, perhaps, not scary. So, if we are to a certain extent are confident that the player in the big blind does not 3-bet and will begin trading on the turn, then raise on the flop, it may be prudent course - if we are ready to announce a check on the turn, when our a draw will not be.

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